NC State-Duke Best Bets, Odds, Expert Picks: Get $5K Bonuses For ACC Tourney

The NC State Wolfpack (19-14, 9-11 ACC) are set to clash with the Duke Blue Devils (24-7, 15-5 ACC) in the ACC Tournament quarterfinals at the Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C., with the game tipping off at 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Coming off an upset victory against Syracuse, the Wolfpack are eyeing another surprise March Madness win against the second-seeded Duke, who aims for yet another conference championship and a deep run in the NCAA Tournament.

NC State is riding the momentum of back-to-back victories, including an impressive 83-65 win over Syracuse, where they outperformed expectations as a 1.5-point underdog.

Jayden Taylor led the team with 18 points, contributing to a balanced offensive effort in which all four double-digit scorers netted at least 15 points. The team posted a 42.4% shooting performance.

On the other hand, Duke is looking to rebound from an 84-79 setback against North Carolina, which ended their three-game winning streak and saw them underperform as a 4.5-point home favorite.

Kyle Filipowski stood out with a team-high 23 points in a game where Duke’s bench contributed just 7 points, and the overall team shooting was 43.3%.

This matchup promises an intriguing battle. NC State seeks to continue its upset streak, while Duke looks to regain its championship-contending form in this crucial ACC Tournament showdown.

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NC State vs Duke Odds & Details

Date: Thursday, March 14, 2024
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Location: Capital One Arena; Washington, DC
Spread: NC State +11.5 (-110), Duke -11.5 (-110)
Moneyline: NC State (+525), Duke (-750)
Total: Over/Under 147.5 (-115, -105)

NC State vs Duke Betting Preview

The NC State Wolfpack have struggled against the spread this season, going 14-18-1 ATS overall and 1-3 ATS in their last four games, with their defense allowing 79 or more points in five of their last six games.

On the contrary, the Duke Blue Devils have performed well ATS, recording an 18-13 overall record and an impressive 8-2 ATS in their last ten games. They excel as favorites and have covered the spread in four consecutive games as double-digit favorites.

Offensively, NC State has been inconsistent, hitting the Over in seven of their last ten games but scoring 73 or fewer points in three of their last five.
With a more stable scoring pattern, Duke has seen lower-scoring games recently. They have hit the Over only twice in their last ten games and struggled to exceed 79 points in seven of those ten games.

Duke’s offense is highlighted by their exceptional guard trio, who are sharpshooters from beyond the arc, contributing to Duke’s robust 38% three-point shooting percentage this season.

Kyle Filipowski stands out as Duke’s versatile big man, enhancing their floor spacing and offensive dynamism, although Duke’s interior defense poses a concern due to their ranking of 118th nationally in 2-point defense.

In their first encounter, NC State stayed competitive thanks to DJ Burns Jr.’s 27 points, but Duke’s offensive firepower eventually took over. DJ Horne’s return from injury boosts Wolfpack’s offense, potentially making them more competitive against the Blue Devils despite their defensive inefficiencies and Duke’s strong interior play.

With both teams showing potential for offensive bursts, the key to victory is whether NC State can exploit Duke’s defensive vulnerabilities and if Duke’s high-powered offense can continue to outscore its opponents.

The Wolfpack is on a great run, but it will end against a superior, well-rested Blue Devils team.

PREDICTION: Duke wins 84-71
BET: Duke -11.5 (-110)
BET: Over 147.5 (-115)

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