Last week, the Detroit Red Wings made a splash in free agency, signing veteran forward Vladimir Tarasenko to a two-year, $4.75M/year contract. The Russian sniper ended last season with 55 points in 76 games between the Ottawa Senators and Florida Panthers. Additionally, his nine points in 24 playoff games played a key depth role in helping the Panthers win their first franchise Stanley Cup. His role as a shoot-first sniper adds an extra layer to Detroit’s game, adding a middle-six scorer to replace the depth that departed with David Perron. With that said, what can Tarasenko bring to the table for the Red Wings? How much of an impact should fans expect from the two-time Cup champ?
Tarasenko in a Nutshell
In his prime, Tarasenko was a force on the ice. The four-time All Star player has a deceptively wicked shot, securing him nearly 300 goals in 700 career games. When he isn’t putting the puck in the net, he’s offering up high-danger scoring chances for his teammates. Tarasenko is the kind of player you can trust to lead the rush. His teammates were frequent beneficiaries of this during the playoffs. Despite what the scoresheet may tell you, advanced analytics show high marks in finishing and shot generation. Tarasenko isn’t the kind of player you want to rely on for defence — rather, he’s the kind you’d pair with a competent two-way forward to add a bit of bite to the roster.
Take a look at Tarasenko’s goal against the New York Rangers in the Eastern Conference Finals.
Tarasenko is great at being in the right place at the right time. His effort here (with a beautiful pass from Aleksander Barkov) resulted in the go-ahead goal that sent the Panthers to the Stanley Cup Finals. Last season, the Red Wings ranked among the top-ten in goals-per-game on the power play. With the departure of David Perron, a spot on the second unit opened up for a big goal-scorer. With a two-pronged attack of Patrick Kane and Tarasenko on each unit, there will never be a moment without a sniper on the ice during the power play next season. Adding Tarasenko to the depth charts makes a massive difference when it comes to secondary scoring, something the Red Wings have desperately needed over the last few years.
Injuries and Inconsistency: The Biggest Issue
Unfortunately, injuries have limited Tarasenko’s production at this point in his career. It’s been eight years since he played a full NHL season and he often struggles to get back into the swing of things when he returns. While this may be cause for concern, it appears his reduced workload over the last few years has helped to limit long-term injuries. If history is any indication, there’s a strong chance he’ll spend some time on injured reserve this season. Tarasenko is more of a medium-risk, high-reward player. If he can stay healthy, he’s a great addition to the roster. But if he misses extended time, he could run the risk of hurting the team’s scoring depth. His placement on the roster – and ice time – will rest squarely on head coach Derek Lalonde’s shoulders.
Realistic Expectations for Vladimir Tarasenko
If you’re looking for a shoot-first, ask questions later forward, Tarasenko is the answer to the equation. The sniper will pot a handful of goals and play a major part on the power play — but if you’re expecting longevity or two-way defence, you’ll have to look elsewhere. Tarasenko is not the kind of player you sign to fill that role. Barring injury, he’ll likely play anywhere from 55-75 games next season. As long as he’s partnered with a more defensively-minded forward, he should serve as an excellent addition to Detroit’s depth. With the Red Wings making a push for the playoffs, guys like Tarasenko are exactly what the team’s supporting cast needs.
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