Week 11’s Patriots vs Rams matchup features two teams with different goals for the rest of the season. While only one victory separates the 4-5 Rams and the 3-7 Pats, Los Angeles is trying to overcome an injury-riddled start as they push toward a postseason wildcard spot.
Meanwhile, New England is trying to build momentum around first-round rookie Drake Maye. While the roster still has a number of holes that must be addressed before the club can return to the ranks of perennial contenders, the Patriots are hopeful they have found a legitimate franchise quarterback.
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Patriots vs Rams Odds
- Moneyline: Rams (-220) vs Patriots (+180)
- Spread: Rams -4.5 (-110) vs Patriots +4.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 43.5 (-110) / Under 43.5 (-110)
Patriots vs Rams Prediction
NE Patriots 17, LA Rams 21
The Rams high-powered offense is finally healthy! With the exception of a tough Monday Night Football performance in which his offense was unable to find the endzone, Matthew Stafford has looked sharp with his full array of weapons. Kyren Williams has been a touchdown machine this season.
Wide receiver duo Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua is one of the most dangerous tandems in football. While LA’s defense, which ranks 22nd in the league in yards per game allowed, limits their overall upside, the Rams have the firepower to earn a touch road victory.
Meanwhile, the Pats rank dead-last in the NFL in offensive yards per game. However, the club has looked much more dangerous since transitioning from veteran Jacoby Brissett to rookie Maye. Veterans Rhamondre Stevenson and Hunter Henry have given the offense a boost. However, on paper, New England lacks the playmakers to compete with the Rams quartet of weapons.
Patriots vs Rams Best Bets
Kyren Williams Over 84.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
New England’s defense has been better at containing the pass (they have allowed the 16th fewest passing yards per game) than the run (where they rank 23rd). With standout corner Christian Gonzalez containing either Kupp or Nacua, expect the Rams to rely on a run-heavy attack this week.
Additionally, look for the club to try to rebound off their touchdown-less performance last week by putting the ball in the hands of their most dangerous scoring weapon as much as possible against the Pats.
Hunter Henry Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Henry has risen to the ranks of #1-pass catcher in Maye’s offense. The veteran leads New England in receptions (40), receiving yards (428), and targets (57).
Henry is also averaging 42.8 yards per game so far this season. There is no reason to expect this to fluctuate negatively, especially against a Rams secondary that has surrendered the 22nd most passing yards per game this season.
The game script, which should feature New England playing catchup to the Rams, should also allow for garbage-time points. Confidently best the over this week!
Main Photo Courtesy of David Banks – Imagn Images
