ATP 250 Hertogenbosch 1/16-Finals
Napolitano – Mannarino: 10.06.2024 17:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Stefano Napolitano has won three of his last five matches. Three weeks ago, Stefano lost in the second qualifying round at the French Open against Mochizuki. Here in Hertogenbosch, Napolitano qualified successfully. In his last match, Napolitano won against Haase in straight sets. Napolitano played a couple of matches on the grass, but mostly at the challenger tour level. He never won in the main draw of ATP tour level events on grass. Before this qualifying tournament, Napolitano played his last match on grass in 2019.
Adrian Mannarino has lost 7 straight matches. However, the grass court part of the season is his favorite one, and we believe that he will get back to the winning runs soon enough. Last year, Mannarino also had a terrible clay court season. However, he then bounced back on grass, winning 12 matches and playing in two ATP Finals in Mallorca and Newport. He lost the final in Mallorca against Eubanks. However, just one month later, Mannarino lifted the trophy in Newport, winning against Michelsen in straight sets. Last year, Mannarino reached the quarterfinals in Hertogenbosch where he lost against Thompson in three sets.
Best Bet to Make
Adrian Mannarino is a way better grass court player than Napolitano. His biggest wins were on grass. We believe that he will end his losing streak easily today against Napolitano.
That being said, Mannarino covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Adrian Mannarino -3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Mensik – Brouwer: 10.06.2024 18:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jakub Mensik has lost three of his last five matches. The young Czech is only 18 years old and has already reached the top 80 in the rankings. Unfortunately for him, the injuries ruined the last couple of weeks. His body is still young, and he has to learn how to maintain his body by playing week after week at the highest level. Mensik has only played two matches on grass so far in his career with an even 1-1 record. However, his playing style fits grass courts perfectly, and we believe that once he adapts to the surface, Mensik will have some great results on grass.
Gijs Brouwer has won four of his last five matches. Last week, Brouwer played a challenger tournament in Surbiton on grass where he lost in the first round against Svajda. Here in Hertogenbosch, Brouwer fought through the qualifying tournament. He has won both of his qualifying matches in three tough sets. In his last match, Brouwer won against Garin in three tough sets. Last year, Brouwer lost in the first round against Hijikata in Hertogenbosch.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this should be a 50-50 match. Mensik is overall a way better player than Brouwer. However, he almost never played any matches on grass, which makes him inexperienced. We still believe that he has a great game for grass, so we believe that he will adapt pretty quickly.
That being said, Mensik winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jakub Mensik winning @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
