ATP Masters 1000 Paris 1/8-Finals
Dimitrov – Rinderknech: 31.10.2024 Time TBA
H2H: 2-0
Grigor Dimitrov has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Vienna, Grigor reached the second round, where he lost against Machac in three tight sets. Here in Paris, Dimitrov won his opening match against Etcheverry in three tight sets. After spending almost three hours on the court, Dimitrov successfully turned the match around. Dimitrov had an outstanding serving performance, saving all three breakpoints. Last year in Paris, Grigor reached the final, where he lost against Novak Djokovic.
Arthur Rinderknech has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Basel, Rinderknech failed to qualify for the main-draw tournament. Here in Paris, Machac retired mid-match against Rinderknech in the first round. After that, in the second round, Rinderknech upset Michelsen in two tiebreaks. He is hoping to get a solid result this week, to get closer to the top 50 in the rankings.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Dimitrov is the favorite in this matchup. Grigor is coming back from an injury, and is still struggling with his form. Rinderknech is a big server, and will have the crowd on his side. We believe that he will have a decent chance against Dimitrov, and that he will keep this match tight.
That being said, Rinderknech covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Rinderknech +3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Humbert – Alcaraz: 31.10.2024 Time TBA
H2H: 0-2
Ugo Humbert has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Basel, Humbert lost his second round match against Goffin in three tight sets, after spending almost three hours on the court. Here in Paris, Ugo won his opening match against Nakashima in three tight sets. He spent over two hours on the court, and eventually won with the help of his home crowd. After that, in the second round, Humbert defeated Giron as we predicted. Despite being a top 20 player, Ugo has a poor record playing at the Masters level. Last year in Paris, Humbert reached the second round, where he was stopped by Zverev in three tight sets.
Carlos Alcaraz has won three of his last five matches. Three weeks ago in Shanghai, Alcaraz reached the quarterfinals, when he was upset by Machac in straight sets. This was his first indoor tournament of the season. Carlos won his opening match against Jarry in straight sets. Alcaraz never had any success here in Paris. Last year. Carlos was upset by Safiullin in the opening round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the big favorite in this matchup. Humbert is one of the best indoor players right now. We believe that with the help of the crowd, Humbert will keep this match tight. He has a great serve, and a perfect game for this kind of surface. On the other hand, Alcaraz never had any success here in Paris on the indoor courts.
That being said, Humbert covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ugo Humbert +3.5 games handicap @2.25 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
