ATP Masters 1000 Paris semifinals
Rune – Zverev: 02.11.2024 14:00 CEST
H2H: 1-2
Holger Rune has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Basel, Rune reached the semifinals, when he lost against Mpetshi Perricard in straight sets as we predicted. Here in Paris, Holger won his opening match against Arnaldi in straight sets as we predicted. After that, in the second round, Rune defeated Bublik in straight sets as we predicted. He won his 1/8-Final and quarterfinal match in three tight sets. Last year in Paris, Rune played solidly, and reached the quarterfinals, where he was stopped by Djokovic in three tight sets.
Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Vienna, Zverev reached the quarterfinals, when he was upset by Musetti in three tight sets. Here in Paris, Zverev won his opening match against Griekspoor in straight sets. Zverev scored and saved all three breakpoints. In the 1/8-Finals, Sascha defeated Fils in three tight sets. Today, in the quarterfinals, Zverev won against Tsitsipas in straight sets. Last year in Paris, Zverev reached the 1/8-Finals, where he was stopped by Tsitsipas in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Zverev is the favorite in this matchup. Both players played solidly this week. Rune loves to play on the fast indoor courts such as this one. We believe that he will keep this match tight, and maybe even win the match.
That being said, Rune covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Holger Rune +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Humbert – Khachanov: 02.11.2024 16:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Ugo Humbert has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Basel, Humbert lost his second round match against Goffin in three tight sets, after spending almost three hours on the court. Here in Paris, Ugo won his opening match against Nakashima in three tight sets. After that, in the second round, Humbert defeated Giron as we predicted. In the third round, Ugo upset Alcaraz in three tight sets. Today, in the quarterfinals, Humbert finished the job in straight sets against Thompson. Despite being a top 20 player, Ugo has a poor record playing at the Masters level. Last year in Paris, Humbert reached the second round, where he was stopped by Zverev in three tight sets.
Karen Khachanov has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Vienna, Khachanov reached the final, where he lost against Draper in straight sets as we predicted. Here in Paris, Karen won his opening round against O´Connell in three tight sets. After that, in the second round, Khachanov lost the first set against Mpetshi Perricard. However, the Russian stepped up his level, and turned the match around. In the 1/8-Finals, the Russian defeated Popyrin in straight sets. Today, in the quarterfinals, Khachanov dominated from the very start against Dimitrov, and deservedly won in straight sets. Last year in Paris, Khachanov reached the quarterfinals, where he lost against Tsitsipas in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Humbert is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree with that. We believe that he will be more rested for this matchup. He will also have the crowd on his side, so we expect him to win this match.
That being said, Humbert winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ugo Humbert winning @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images
